Swiss Franc, CHF, AUD/CHF, CAD/CHF, CHF/JPY – Talking Points
- AUD/CHF faces stiff resistance at 0.6900, 200-day moving average
- CAD/CHF tracking decline in WTI, finding support around 0.7385
- CHF/JPY is on bull-flag breakout watch, clean air ahead
AUD/CHF Technical Analysis
Recent Australian Dollar strength has seen AUD/CHF trade back up to the 200-day moving average (MA) near 0.6900. Momentum also appears to be slowing, with the relative strength index making lower highs since the first test of the 200-day MA on October 18. Any weakness in the cross could see price retest trendline support below, a level that has held since mid-August. While price may appear to be stalling, confirmation of a reversal of the uptrend would come with a close below ascending trendline support.
AUD/CHF Daily Chart
CAD/CHF Technical Analysis
CAD/CHF has mirrored recent weakness seen in the spot price of WTI, which has seen the pair fall to support around 0.7385. Price appreciation across commodities buoyed the pair to within touching distance of yearly highs. The pair briefly reached overbought status on October 12 with an RSI reading of 70.37, with price and momentum cooling off in the subsequent sessions. Should price maintain the 0.7385 level, market participants may look for a retest of 0.7420, a key pivot level dating back to late-April.
CAD/CHF Daily Chart
CHF/JPY Technical Analysis
CHF/JPY has been on breakout watch following the breakout of the first bull flag formation around the beginning of the month. The break higher from that flag took the pair to fresh yearly highs above 124.00, with a brief consolidation of price leading to the formation of a second bull flag. Having achieved what appears to be a break higher from the second bull flag, market participants may want to be cognizant of the potential for additional price appreciation. Given that price has already reached overbought territory, a stall or even a complete reversal of the uptrend could see a retest of the previous 2021 high at 122.771.
CHF/JPY Daily Chart
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— Written by Brendan Fagan, Intern
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